The biggest World Cup ever
48 teams · 12 groups · 104 matches · 16 stadiums across three nations. The first-ever Round of 32 marks the start of knockouts on 28 June.
Top contenders — live simulation odds
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This bracket shows a predicted route to the final, calculated live from current Elo ratings, recorded results and our Monte Carlo simulation. Pairings reflect FIFA's published knockout structure. As real results land, the predicted route updates automatically — selecting a team on the Overview tab highlights their projected path in gold.
Full simulation results
Probability of each team reaching each round, based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations using current Elo ratings and recorded results.