The biggest World Cup ever
48 teams · 12 groups · 104 matches · 16 stadiums across three nations. The first-ever Round of 32 marks the start of knockouts on 28 June.
Top contenders — live simulation odds
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Knockout bracket — live results blended with predicted route. Matches that have been played show the real scoreline (winner in gold, loser struck through). Matches not yet played show the projected route based on Elo + Monte Carlo. R32 third-place pairings follow FIFA Annex C. The bracket refreshes every 5 minutes from the live football-data.org feed.
Full simulation results
Probability of each team reaching each round, based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations using current Elo ratings and recorded results.